Loose Lips

Mayoral Power Rankings: Week 7

With the Winter Olympics over, the Mayoral Power Rankings are the only spectacle left that combines both influence-peddling and tests of endurance. 

1. Jack Evans

What: Statistically tied with Tommy Wells for third place in the NBC4/WAMU/Informer poll, Evans is cutting loose. Still, he remains unable to resist a downer policy speech at a debate, even Wednesday night's live broadcast at WAMU. As he put another feel-good proposal to sleep, Evans remarked that he feels like a skunk at a garden party. Nobody wants to vote for a skunk!

Why: LL is bracing for controversy with his top two picks today. The new polling shows Wells and Evans, absent some campaign "game changer" (urgh), with chances of winning approaching zero. But their roughly equal, double-digit shares of likely voters put them in the kingmaker spot. With second-choice voters breaking primarily for Bowser and Evans gunning for second place, how strong a race Evans and Wells run could decide the election.

Power Rankings Momentum: Rising.

2. Tommy Wells

What: Wells joined the councilmembers calling for fire chief Kenneth Ellerbe's resignation.

Why: See above. Also, happy birthday.

Power Rankings Momentum: Rising.

3. Muriel Bowser

What: Bowser's polling shows her exactly where she's claimed to be—breaking out ahead of Wells and Evans.

Why: Still, Bowser's surprisingly clumsy on ethics issue. Multiple WAMU debate panelists hammered her on campaign finance reform, and she didn't do much to push them back. Bowser's claim that Wells is hypocritical for refusing corporate contributions while still accepting contributions from those corporations' owners remains transparent.

Power Rankings Momentum: Falling.

4. Vince Gray

What: With Bowser closing in, Gray was the choice for 28 percent of likely voters in Tuesday's poll.

Why: How could the guy leading in the polls be fourth in the power rankings? More than a month after the Post poll, Gray is still struggling to translate the sense that the District is doing well into a poll boost. Requests to turn the page aside, Gray still has trouble when he's asked about the 2010 shadow campaign.

Power Rankings Momentum: Falling.

5. Andy Shallal

What: Shallal's relaxed attitude about voting in mayoral elections that's he's not a candidate in is old news, and his recently released education white paper gives more heft to his school reform critique. And, in case you were wondering, Shallal tweets that he has no plans to drop out and back Bowser.

Why: Plus, "America's No. 1 Populist" Jim Hightower is accusing progressives of sleeping on Shallal's candidacy.

Power Rankings Momentum: Rising.

6. Vincent Orange

What: Orange tried gamely to get as much talking time as the leading four candidates at the WAMU debate, without much success. Gray dissed his "learning to read/reading to learn" catchphrase in the Informer. And Orange's campaign ordered 5,000 orange wristbands, apparently unaware that the guy who popularized rubber awareness bracelets isn't doing so hot.

Why: Tuesday's poll revealed that Orange has the enormous unfavorable score of 50 percent. Nevertheless, Orange came off as pretty likable in his turn in the Post's mayoral profile series.

Power Rankings Momentum: Falling.

7. Reta Jo Lewis

What: Lewis got a surprising amount of speaking time in the WAMU debate, which should give her a little more of the name recognition she badly needs. But the new figures still show her hovering just above Carlos Allen for last place.

Why: LL has been fascinated lately by Lewis' end game, whatever it is. Speculate in the comments.

Power Rankings Momentum: Falling.

Honorable Mentions: WAMU debate questioner Kavitha Cardoza, who pressed candidates to actually answer questions. 

Photos by Darrow Montgomery

  • truth hurts

    I never thought much of LL's weekly power ratings, and this one is just plain goofy.

  • HUAlum71

    LL WTF ARE YOU SMOKING?????
    HAVE YOU LOST YOUR F*IN' MIND?

    TOMMY WELLS - RISING???
    HIS OWN CONSTIUENCY WON'T EVEN TAKE HIS CALLS.
    MATTER OF FACT HE IS AFRAID TO EVEN APPEAR WHERE THE CREAM OF THAT CROP CONVENES.

    WELLS IS THE REASON ALLEN WILL LOSE AND THOMPSON WILL WIN.

    ARE YOU SO HUNGRY FOR RELEVANCE YOU WILL STOOP SO LOW AS TO FUDGE YOUR RANIKING TO GET RESPONSES?

    WELL GET THIS RESPONSE: I HAVE LOST COMPLETE RESPECT FOR YOUR INTEGRITY AND I WON'T EVEN SPEAK OF HOW I FEEL ABOUT YOUR GOOD SENSE.

  • Dan

    HUAlum71
    I agree 100%. These folks, along with C King of WaPo, must be hitting the pipe heavy. These rankings are worthless and do not reflect reality.

  • The Scoreboard

    So these are just a joke, then, right, Will?

    Evans becomes a nonfactor this week and you rank him #1. Tommy Wells is behind him and trying to stir the mud by inviting rival staffers to his party and then complaining about it in the press.

    When everyone in town knows it's now a two-person race, this is basically irresponsible journalism.

    Stop trying to drive your own narrative just to make things more interesting. Stop printing whatever flacks tell you as stories. Do some fucking journalism instead of pot stirring and rumor mongering. Damn, dude.

  • Sam Stanford

    "Bowser's polling shows her exactly where she's claimed to be—breaking out ahead of Wells and Evans" who are both ranked ahead of her in this inane piece of click bait.

  • ScrappyDoo

    So these are just a joke, then, right, Will?

    Evans becomes a nonfactor this week and you rank him #1. Tommy Wells is behind him and trying to stir the mud by inviting rival staffers to his party and then complaining about it in the press.

    When everyone in town knows it's now a two-person race, this is basically irresponsible journalism.

    Stop trying to drive your own narrative just to make things more interesting. Stop printing whatever flacks tell you as stories. Do some fucking journalism instead of pot stirring and rumor mongering. Damn, dude.

  • ScrappyDoo

    So these are just a joke, then, right, Will?

    Evans becomes a nonfactor this week and you rank him #1. Tommy Wells is behind him and with his camp trying to stir the mud by inviting rival staffers to his party and then complaining about it in the press.

    When everyone in town knows it's now a two-person race, this is basically irresponsible journalism.

    Stop trying to drive your own narrative just to make things more interesting. Stop printing whatever flacks tell you as stories. Do some real journalism instead of pot stirring and rumor mongering. Damn, dude.

  • Matt

    Lol got some butthurt muriel fans up in here

  • drez

    Jack and Tommy are tied for first because polling shows they came in 3rd?
    If you say so.

  • noodlez

    YO WILLY EARL MAINTAIN SOME CREDIBILITY. EVANS??? WELLS BECAUSE IT IS BIRTHDAY??? IS YOU WANNA BE TAKEN SERIOUS AT THE VERY LEAST BE SERIOUS WITH YOUR RANKINGS.

    WELLS SHOULD DOWN BY ORANGE ON RANKINGS.

    BOWSER WHIFFED AT WAMU DEBATE WITH HER SAAME OL SAME OL. SHE SHOULD NOT BE AHEAD OF GRAY ESPECIALLY SINCE SHE IS BEHIND IN EVERY POLL HEAD TO HEAD WITH HIM.

    SHALLAL IS A SOLID 3RD.

  • BOWSER FAN

    Bowser talks about integrity, honesty and all that. her people also calls mayor Gray crooks........Question?
    She has two people that work and get paid in her campaign; Joshua Lopez 3000 dollars and Tim clark 1500 dollars, .....Just check Bowser financial Report.....

    Joshua is in court/fines for the writte in campaingn back in 2010.
    Mr Clark was fired from Mcduffie office after paying with council credit card his own expenditures.

    Bowser u are a CROOK too.

  • Son of Washington

    Bowser Fan

    I just wanted to correct you on a few things. First off Lopez is part of a team who was penalized because folks donated their old Fenty signs to the write in campaign and they reused them. That hardly constitutes a crime. It is BS dc political rules. Several other campaigns have done similar. It was just who was in charge who went after them.

    Secondly, according to McDuffie ' s own admission Clarke used a card and then paid it back. He wasn't caught stealing anything. He actually used it and when he realized he used the wrong card he paid the money back. He later approached McDuffie and his Chief of Staff and reported it. He then parted ways with the office. By the way this isn't hearsay this is from the mouth of McDuffie and his Chief of Staff when it happened.

    If you are going to go after her at least give me some the I can dig in with. What you gave is fluf.

  • mona

    Wells should consider quitting and shifting his vote to Evans. He would beat Gray and Bowser easily and would really be nice change for the city

  • mona

    Son of Washington - so are you saying he quit? McDuffie reported it as he was fired. If it was such a nothing thing and an honest mistake why fire him or quit. I remember this well when it happened. Even with this questionable transaction having occurred why would Bowser let him on her staff?

  • HUAlum71

    Mona:

    You had very little credibility going for you at first.
    NOW YOU HAVE ABSOLUTELY NONE.

    It's people like you disappearing that would make for a nice change in this city.

    What is it you creeps don't understand about who are the real crooks in Washington, DC?

    Lopez/Clark/Bowser = FENTY/NICKLES/OVERLOOKED CORRUPTION

  • Chaz Sanderson

    Vincent Orange really thought he held a chance at becoming the next Mayor of DC. He bragged at one point that a crowded field would, inevitably place the Mayor's seat in his lap. He stated that Tommy Wells would secure Ward 6, Jack Evans-Ward 2, Muriel Bowser-Ward 4, with his claim to 20 percent of the vote, then he would sweep through wards 5, 7, and 8. I remember the statement, "The Mayor's seat would be his for the taking." What a complete idiot, he does not have the votes east-of-the-river locked up as he so readily believed. In fact, during his potential run against Chairman Mendelson, a prominent ANC Commissioner of Ward 8 told him, "WE NEVER SEE YOU OVER HERE, ONLY WHEN IT'S ELECTION TIME. YES, WE UNDERSTAND THAT YOU ARE BLACK, BUT THAT DOES NOT GUARANTEE, WE WILL SUPPORT YOU OVER PHIL MENDELSON. WE KNOW MR. MENDELSON AND HIS FAMILY, HE IS FREQUENTLY IN ATTENDANCE AT OUR ANC MEETINGS AND WORKS HAND-IN-HAND WITH US TO ADDRESS OUR CONCERNS."

    I'm certainly not surprised that he has only 4 percent of the vote, trailing Andy Shallal. The lowest-vote garnering Councilmember, to date. He can't garner support from African-Americans and the Whites within the District of Columbia utterly abhor him and will not vote for him no matter what.

    His arrogant and proud demeanor has not bode well with DC Voters and they have shunned him, time and time again during this election season. Overall, Vincent Orange is a grave disappointment and a non-mutha-f____ing factor as far as being a Mayoral contender within the District of Columbia.

  • HUAlum71

    @CS#16:

    Your point has been proven over and over again.
    VO himself proved his arrogance and ill-mannered demeanor over and over again during the Ward 7 debate. I doubt if there was even one round when the moderator didn't have to chastise him over and over again about his time being up.

    Of course a lot of his faux pas could be chalked up to his campaign manager who is as coarse as he is. She probably hyped him up into thinking she could bring Wards 7 and 8 to him, when she couldn't bring ants to a picnic with a spilled jar of honey.

    Good riddance to that bad rubbish. LONG LIVE VINCE GRAY!

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