Loose Lips

Bowser Passes Rivals in New Poll, Still Lags Behind Gray

Muriel Bowser's campaign has insisted since January that the crowded mayoral field has only two viable candidates: Bowser and incumbent mayor Vince Gray. Now a new poll from WAMU and NBC4 suggests that the race is headed in that direction.

More than a month after the Washington Post released the last public poll that wasn't funded by a campaign, Gray is still in the lead with 28 percent of likely voters. But Bowser has 20 percent in the new poll, putting her ahead (even with the margin of error) of challengers Jack Evans and Tommy Wells, who received 13 and 12 percent, respectively.

Busboys and Poets owner Andy Shallal received 6 percent, Councilmember Vincent Orange took in 4 percent, and Clintonite ex-State Department official Reta Jo Lewis received 3 percent. Carlos Allen's appearances with a tour bus worthy of a rock star at debates haven't won him many supporters—he received 1 percent of the vote.

With all the other Gray challengers tying up 36 percent of the vote, Bowser isn't the only choice for the 63 percent of Democrats who want to see him ousted from the mayoral suite. But she could benefit more than Gray if some of the candidates drop out or lose supporters. 21 percent of respondents picked Bowser as their second choice, with Evans receiving 18 percent. Gray and Wells were picked as the second choices for 12 percent of respondents each.

Naturally, ongoing federal investigation into Gray's 2010 campaign hasn't helped him in the race, with 53 percent saying it makes them less likely to vote for him. But not for everyone thinks guilty pleas from campaign associates are so bad—7 percent of poll respondents said it made them more likely to vote for Gray. If you're one of these people, LL wants to hear from you.

28 percent of the vote isn't much of an endorsement for an incumbent mayor in a city where 74 percent of Democrats say the city is headed in the right direction. Still,  Gray campaign manager Chuck Thies trumpeted the results in an email to LL, wondering what a barrage of mailings from Gray's rivals had done for their trailing campaigns.

"Seven candidates and the local media establishment have been campaigning against Vince, yet he is still in the lead," Thies writes. "We know exactly how to deal with that kind of opposition. Muhammad Ali taught us the technique. It's called Rope-a-Dope."

Bowser's campaign reacted to the poll as well, saying in a press release that the poll shows voters choosing her as the leading candidate to take on Gray.

But if Bowser misses her shot at the top job, At-Large Councilmember David Catania, still considering a bid in the general election, could find supporters if he runs. The poll shows 41 percent of Democrats saying they'd "definitely" vote against Gray in the general election if he won the primary.

Photo by Darrow Montgomery

Comments

  1. #1

    Bowser won Ward 4, 8 straww polls, but she couldnt win this one......WHY??? She is not going to win this race...lol.

    ALL the way VINCE GRAY.........

  2. #2

    Great news for Bowser. If she can cut a deal with one or more of the challengers, she wins in a landslide.

  3. #3

    Tbonebullets...you really think the other candidates are going to drop out of the race and throw their support for MB?! -- wishful thinking. Orange and Wells are going to stay in the race for posterity. Evans certainly, and maybe Shallal, will drop out and support Gray -- hands down. Shelia Alexander will deliver Gray Ward 7. And lest we forget the most skilled,yet checkered, tactician, Marion Barry, who will publicly endorse Mayor Gray and turn out the vote for Gray in Wards 5, 7, and 8 in droves.

  4. #4

    Jack Evans and change is enough.

  5. #5

    This isn't good news for Bowser. As long as she's been running and raising money, she still can't even surpass Gray.

    I agree with Ash12 that Evans and Shallal will throw their support behind Gray.

    As much as I hate to admit this, Barry still holds a lot of power and respect in Wards 7 and 8 and he know how to get out the vote.

  6. #6

    I am willing to guess that more people would go with the status quo than take a flyer on Ms. Bowser.

  7. #7

    Intersting that Evans pal and former Bowser for Ward 4 supporter, Herb Miller is hosting a swanky fundraiser for Mayor Gray...interesting. All of the deep pockets have jumped ship and are supporting Mayor Gray.

  8. #8

    How exactly would say Jack Evans explain to his donors, many of whom are supporting him as the experienced alternative to the flawed Gray, that he was dropping out to support Gray? Sadly for Jack despite having run a disastrous campaign - nine months in and still defined as the rich, out of touch, white guy with no vision, great job boys - he is in this for the final slog. He will win in one capacity, cost per vote, period.

    I am sure the perpetrators of the Children's Campaign Massacre have already convinced themselves that Jack didn't win because he is white. One aspect of being an effective manager is knowing how to cut dead wood.

    Chuck Thies is not going to lose to Moe Stuff, ain't gonna happen.

    One thing is certain, Marion is not going to waste his endorsement.

  9. #9

    "One thing is certain, Marion is not going to waste his endorsement."

    Speaking of Marion, where is he?

  10. #10

    FIRST OF ALL THAT 41% THAT CLAIMS THEY WILL VOTE FOR GAYTANIA ARE NOTHING BUT WHITES AND SEGREGATIONIST WHITE MALE HOMOSEXUALS WITH A FEW GAY BLACKS SPRINKLED IN.

    I WOULD LIKE TO POINT OUT HOW WILLY EARL CONTINUES TO ESCHEW OBFUSCATION. HIS GREEN MACHINE BLOOD FLOWS FREELY OUT OF HIS VEINS INTO HIS SUBMISSIONS. I WOULD APPRECIATE IT IF HE WOULD JUST COME OUT AND ADMIT HIS PASSION FOR BOWSER AND THE TREE FROM WHICH SHE FELL.

    AS TO THE POLL NUMBERS IMA PLAY ALONG JUST FOR SHITS AND GIGGLES!!!

    MAYOR GRAY WITH ALL THE BULLSHIT AND VITRIOL BEING LEVELED AGAINST HIM CONTINUES TO EMERGE FROM THE PACK WITH GRACE ONLY BEFITTING FROM A NATIVE WASHINGTONIAN. HE CONTINUES TO LEAD IN POLLS THAT I’M SURE DOESN'T REFLECT ALL WALKS OF DC LIFE.

    THE CITY CONTINUES TO THRIVE IN THE BLACK AND SWELL WITH INTRIGUE FROM ALL THE MONEY SPENDING NEXT GENERATION FOLK AMIDST ALL THE ALLEGATIONS & ASSHOLES SWIRLING AROUND HIM. HOW CAN FOLK WITH ANY WHEREWITHAL ABOUT THEMSELVES NOT VOTE FOR HIM KNOWING AND UNDERSTANDING WHAT HE IS GOING THROUGH? WHAT IS THE OBSESSION OF HATE FOR MAYOR GRAY THAT DUMB IGNORANT ASSES JUST CAN’T SEEM TO GET OVER?

    IN CONTRAST YOU HAVE MURIEL BOWSER RUNNING BECAUSE THE FAKE FLENTY FLUNKIES ARE STILL UP IN THEIR FEELINGS ABOUT GETTING A MUD HOLE STOMPED IN THERE ASS IN 2010. SHE IS RUNNING ON THE CIRCA 2010 GRAY PLATFORM BUT IS SO FUCKING DUMB SHE CAN’T SHE THE CITY IS IN 2 DIFFERENT PLACES FROM 2010.IT IS NOT A SECRET THAT FENTY FUCKED UP THE MONEY, PURPOSELY LEFT FOLK IN THE DARK AND CUT OFF A PORTION OF THE CITY WHO ESCORTED HIS BI-CURIOUS ASS INTO OFFICE.

    BOWSER IS A SPLITTING IMAGE OF THE WORSE MAYOR IN DC HISTORY ADRIAN FENTY. SHE IGNORES THE PEOPLE OF WARD 4 ESPECIALLY EAST OF GEO AVE, SHE DOESN'T IDENTIFY WITH AN ENTIRE SECTION OF THE CITY (EOTR DEP MAYOR?), SHE IS CURRENTLY USING HIS SAME CREW THAT IS CLUELESS AND LACKS VISION ALSO THE LACK OF EXECUTIVE EXPERIENCE ON HER PART IS NOT USEFUL RIGHT NOW.

    EVANS AND SHALLAL WITH DROP OUT THE RACE AND SUPPORT MAYOR GRAY, WELLS IS 50/50 HE WILL SUPPORT BOWSER IF HE FADES, BULLFROG WILL CONTINUE TO BELLOW AND BECOME OUTSIDE NOISE ONLY TO PROCLAIM HE CAME IN LAST PLACE WITH A POSITIVE SPIN.

    ONE CITY!

  11. #11

    Thank God, and if any other candidate wants to ever run again for another office they will if they decide to back out of this particular race support Gray and NOT Bowser....She clearly hasn't mastered being a council member let along receiving the keys to the KinGdom which is our city....we all would be moving to VA!

  12. #12

    (Snicker) at the haters.

  13. #13

    just what is "noodLez" going on about? Nude what?

  14. #14

    Ya Got That Right, Slim Shady.....
    It's a healthy sign to see you can laugh/snicker at yourself and those other minions. Let me LOLer.

  15. #15

    Don't get to on board for Gray just yet. He is doing some shady things. Last Sunday he was at the fundraiser of a notorious slumlord Vincent Abel. 1360 Taylor st NW. This house hasn't paid taxes on it since 2008. He owes 45k in back taxes. Vincent able is currently in jail as we speak and there is something funky going on between this house and a group home trying to get in across the street. Gray is still doing shady things. Here is a video of him as he is going in the house and a neighbor asking him about it. Note how defensive he gets about it

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hdWFP51UApM

  16. #16

    41% of democrats say they'll DEFINITELY vote against gray if he wins the primary. Extraordinarily high negatives. Add Republican and independent voters to the mix and ... DC elects its first white mayor.

  17. #17

    @truth hurts: then better vote Bowser in the primary. She has no such high negatives, and she's a likable person when you meet her. She'll coast through to win the election if she wins the Dem primary.

  18. #18

    Haters keep your scare tactics and empty rhetoric to yourself. We are not interested in your snake oil!

    The Gray's Express Train continues to go full steam ahead!!!

    We will politically deal with Catania when the time comes!

  19. #19

    tony, I like Catania for his intellect, but his dearth of people skills is tantamount to those of Fenty.

    We won't have to deal with Catania, he has already done that job for us.

    Actually according to Nikita Stewart's reporting, Catania was the catalyst for the Sulaimon Brown thing. He alledgedly told Turnage if he didn't fire Brown he would not be confirmed. Turnage had his C-O-S (who is the brother of one of Fenty's gang of theives) terminate Brown. Dude overreacted and had Brown unceremoniously removed from the building instead of offering the guy a lesser job someplace else.

    It will never happen, but it would be the height of irony if by some fluke Catania was able to worm his way into the corner suite of the Wilson Building as our first White Mayor. GOD FORBID.

  20. #20

    First off Noodlez is full of shit. I love how folks say Bowser is not in tune with her neighborhood. She lives east of Georgia Ave dumb ass.

    Next Barry can't deliver ward 5 for Gray. Bowser lives on the 4/5 line and her family is still in 5. Her father was one of the original ANC's. They still have a following in 5. Plus Gray and Barry have screwed too many in 4/5 and far too many of 5's new residents 8 precinct 67, 68, 69, 44 and 19 are White and have no connection to Barry. 5 will be split.

    But then again we don't look to you for facts or logic. Your name says it all.

    As far as the 40% that won't vote for Gray, they aren't all gay or White.

  21. #21

    Wait... Gray went to a fundraiser at the home of Vincent Able? Are you ^$^% kidding me?!?
    Why isn't this it's own story?

  22. #22

    GO VINCE GO! GO VINCE GO! GO VINCE GO!

  23. #23

    Mona, maybe your ears are better than my ears, but I didn't hear, nor did I see a defensive mode from the Mayor.

    Do you people expect him to turn around and walk away because someone approaches him as he is going into a fund raiser and makes allegations (true or false) about someone who is not there to defend himself. I don't care if the man was on death row.

    And drez it isn't it's own story because it really isn't a story. You see the boogey man in any and everything Vince Gray is involved in.

    Sir, you really need to get a life. Nobody is taking you seriously anymore. Your creditability has been shot to shit. It happened a long, long time ago. Even the other haters have lost respect for your comments. Even the few that make sense.

  24. #24

    @SUNNY- I KNOW WHERE SHE LIVES AND THAT MAKES IT ALL THE WORSE.

    LOVE YOUR BREAK DOWN ON WARD 5 DONT BELIEVE ENOUGH NEW FOLK MOVED IN TO W5 TO WRESTLE AWAY FROM MAYOR GRAY.

    THE 40% THAT HAVE IT IN FOR MAYOR GRAY ARE MAINLY COMPRISED OF WHITES, GAYS AND FAGGIE FENTYITES. YALL AINT ENOUGH!!

    ONE CITY!

  25. #25

    Drez - I am wondering why it isn't a story in itself. No one is taking this on. It is like they don't see it

  26. #26

    HUAlum71 - you may not see defensiveness but you have to have been there to see it. If nothing else why would Gray's people let him enter if that is the issue. How come they would at least google the name of the owner before letting the mayor enter the place. Vincent Abel is sitting in jail right this second. The mayor had no business near his property unless he had an agenda

  27. #27

    @MONA-YOU ARE TRYING TO SENSATIONALIZE A COCKAMAIMY STORY BECAUSE SOME POSER WITH HIS PARTNER AND AN IPHONE VIDEO WANT SOME SHINE.

    ISN'T THIS PROPERTY IN WARD 4? DID THEY CONTACT THEIR COUNCIL MEMBER? MAYOR GRAY EVEN TOLD THE PUNK HE WOULD LOOK INTO IT BUT THAT WASN'T ENOUGH CAUSE THE CHUMP HAD TO PRESS HIM OUT.

    I WOULD IGNORED HIS BITCH ASS UNTIL I CAME OUT THEN I WOULD HAVE GIVEN HIM A LESSON IN MANNERS!!

  28. #28

    There is no dram. Gray was in the house doing a fundraiser. The guy is in jail. Vincent Abel has history of defrauding people out of their homes all over the city. He owes 45k in taxes on this house and taxes haven't been paid since 2008. These are all facts. The mayor has issues with ethics and everyone is questioning him on them. Why in the world would he step foot in this guys house unless he is doing some dirty dealing.

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